Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

USA Weather — Severe Weather Division

Issued
7:54 AM EDT Thu, Oct 9 2025 (11:54Z Thu, Oct 9)
Valid
08Z Thu, Oct 9 - 08Z Fri, Oct 10
Forecaster
Avery Schronce

...THERE IS A GENERAL RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND FOUR-CORNERS REGION...

,,,SYNOPSIS...

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATED. MOISTURE SURGING NORTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION. 

THE PROBABILITY FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HOWEVER REMAINS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL RISK OTHER THAN A GENERAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLINE.


...PROBABILITY TABLE...
...TORNADO...<2%...
...HAIL...<5%...
...WIND...<5%...